Incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in the CA-15 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Mullin’s 73% re-election margin in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this edge, with Mullin securing 65% of the vote to advance against Republican Charles Hoelter. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, and Mullin’s substantial fundraising advantage further supports trader consensus. Hoelter, a first-time challenger with limited reported resources, faces structural barriers in a San Mateo County and San Francisco Peninsula district. Late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-15 House Election Winner
CA-15 House Election Winner
$122,366 Vol.
$122,366 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Mullin (D)
96%
Charles Hoelter (R)
<1%
$122,366 Vol.
$122,366 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kevin Mullin (D)
$94,061 Vol.
96%
Charles Hoelter (R)
$28,305 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in the CA-15 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Mullin’s 73% re-election margin in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this edge, with Mullin securing 65% of the vote to advance against Republican Charles Hoelter. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, and Mullin’s substantial fundraising advantage further supports trader consensus. Hoelter, a first-time challenger with limited reported resources, faces structural barriers in a San Mateo County and San Francisco Peninsula district. Late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$122,366শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in the CA-15 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Mullin’s 73% re-election margin in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this edge, with Mullin securing 65% of the vote to advance against Republican Charles Hoelter. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, and Mullin’s substantial fundraising advantage further supports trader consensus. Hoelter, a first-time challenger with limited reported resources, faces structural barriers in a San Mateo County and San Francisco Peninsula district. Late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$122,366শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in the CA-15 general election due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Mullin’s 73% re-election margin in 2024. The June 2026 top-two primary reinforced this edge, with Mullin securing 65% of the vote to advance against Republican Charles Hoelter. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, and Mullin’s substantial fundraising advantage further supports trader consensus. Hoelter, a first-time challenger with limited reported resources, faces structural barriers in a San Mateo County and San Francisco Peninsula district. Late developments such as a national political shift or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current conditions indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা