Recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election has placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen steadily between 15% and 16% in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap conducted in the final two weeks. This range reflects a modest decline from earlier 2026 figures near 18-19%, amid rising support for Die Linke and AfD while the CDU-SPD governing coalition trails. Housing affordability, voter turnout patterns, and coalition signals from Green lead candidates have contributed to the stable but lower positioning. With the vote underway, the 14-17% band aligns closely with the latest aggregates; late shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout variations remain the primary variables that could move the final share outside this interval.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড14-17% 93%
<14% 7%
17-20% 1.8%
20%+ <1%
$70,421 Vol.
$70,421 Vol.
<14%
7%
14-17%
93%
17-20%
2%
20%+
1%
14-17% 93%
<14% 7%
17-20% 1.8%
20%+ <1%
$70,421 Vol.
$70,421 Vol.
<14%
7%
14-17%
93%
17-20%
2%
20%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election has placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen steadily between 15% and 16% in surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, INSA, and Infratest dimap conducted in the final two weeks. This range reflects a modest decline from earlier 2026 figures near 18-19%, amid rising support for Die Linke and AfD while the CDU-SPD governing coalition trails. Housing affordability, voter turnout patterns, and coalition signals from Green lead candidates have contributed to the stable but lower positioning. With the vote underway, the 14-17% band aligns closely with the latest aggregates; late shifts in undecided voters or regional turnout variations remain the primary variables that could move the final share outside this interval.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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