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icon for বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?
রাজনীতি·হুথি

বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?

icon for বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?
রাজনীতি·হুথি

বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?

$14,875,716 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$14,875,716 Vol.

Polymarket

September 15

$830,817 Vol.

<1%

September 30

$3,572,973 Vol.

3%

October 31

$571,266 Vol.

12%

December 31

$1,008,704 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c , including both the chart and downloadable files.Houthi forces' rapid September 2026 territorial gains along Yemen's Red Sea coast, including capture of the port of Mokha, Perim Island, and the Hanish islands, have placed both shores and key islands of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait under their control for the first time. These advances, occurring amid the broader U.S.-Iran conflict and a Houthi maritime embargo targeting Saudi-linked vessels, have driven sharp reductions in daily transits—often 50-60% below pre-2023 levels—with many operators rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope or facing elevated war-risk premiums. Traders assign roughly 22% probability of effective closure by year-end, reflecting the group's enhanced ability to monitor and interdict traffic despite official statements that navigation remains open to non-hostile vessels. No formal closure has been declared by any authority, and limited commercial movements continue under heightened risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.

If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
ভলিউম
$14,875,716
শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 8, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c , including both the chart and downloadable files.Houthi forces' rapid September 2026 territorial gains along Yemen's Red Sea coast, including capture of the port of Mokha, Perim Island, and the Hanish islands, have placed both shores and key islands of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait under their control for the first time. These advances, occurring amid the broader U.S.-Iran conflict and a Houthi maritime embargo targeting Saudi-linked vessels, have driven sharp reductions in daily transits—often 50-60% below pre-2023 levels—with many operators rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope or facing elevated war-risk premiums. Traders assign roughly 22% probability of effective closure by year-end, reflecting the group's enhanced ability to monitor and interdict traffic despite official statements that navigation remains open to non-hostile vessels. No formal closure has been declared by any authority, and limited commercial movements continue under heightened risk.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published.

If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.

Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.
ভলিউম
$14,875,716
শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 8, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070BE91...

সম্পর্কিত

icon for 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by December 31?

16%
icon for Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

72%
icon for Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

68%

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?" হলো Polymarket-এ 12 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "December 31" 19%-এ, তারপর "October 31" 12%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

আজ পর্যন্ত, "বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?" মোট $14.9 million ট্রেডিং ভলিউম তৈরি করেছে মার্কেট Mar 16, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হওয়ার পর থেকে। এই স্তরের ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি Polymarket কমিউনিটির শক্তিশালী এনগেজমেন্ট প্রতিফলিত করে এবং নিশ্চিত করতে সাহায্য করে যে বর্তমান অডস মার্কেট অংশগ্রহণকারীদের একটি গভীর পুল দ্বারা অবহিত। আপনি এই পেজে সরাসরি লাইভ মূল্য মুভমেন্ট ট্র্যাক করতে ও যেকোনো ফলাফলে ট্রেড করতে পারেন।

"বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 12 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "December 31" 19%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 19% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "October 31" 12%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"বাব এল-মান্দেব প্রণালী কার্যকরভাবে... দ্বারা বন্ধ?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।